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Estimating Expected Earnings per Share for the Market

IB, SAPM Concept

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Concept Definition and Explanation

 
to arrive at a fair value for the market or a target price for the market based on multiplier method earnings per share needs to be estimated.
 
The steps involved are:
 

Estimate sales per share for a stock-market series

Estimate the operating profit margin for the series

Estimate depreciation per share for the next year

Estimate interest expense per share for the next year

Estimate the corporate tax rate for the next year

Estimate EPS for the next year.

Fore estimating sales per share, estimates of growth in GDP made by various economic organizations like FED, IMF,various banks are used. 

 
References:
Reilly, Frank and Keith Brown, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, 7th Edition, Thomson-South Western, 2003
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Narayana Rao K.V.S.S.
Narayana Rao K.V.S.S.
Industrial Engineering and Management Faculty at National Institute of Industrial Engineering
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